Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 28-22-8
6–4
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 37-19-2
1ST2ND3RDT
CBJ
2821625629
DAL
1321118422
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CBJ 28-22-8 · DAL 37-19-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Blue Jackets beat the Stars
The Blue Jackets were outchanced (4.0 to 2.9 expected goals) but won 6–4 anyway. Jake Oettinger allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.9, on 22 and 29 shots on goal.
CBJ 2.9 xG · 29 shots
DAL 4.0 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 0.9
2nd
1.4 · 1.5
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kirill Marchenko · 1st 00:30 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (51%)
2
Mathieu Olivier · 1st 04:37 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Jamie Benn · 1st 09:37 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Kirill Marchenko · 2nd 01:11 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Ivan Provorov · 2nd 08:46 · 4–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Roope Hintz · 2nd 09:38 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Jason Robertson · 2nd 13:57 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
8
James van Riemsdyk · 3rd 02:37 · 5–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Mavrik Bourque · 3rd 17:53 · 5–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
10
Adam Fantilli · 3rd 19:28 · 6–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blue Jackets win 34.
CBJ 34%DAL 66%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kirill Marchenko · 1st 00:30 · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (51%)
2
Mathieu Olivier · 1st 04:37 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Jamie Benn · 1st 09:37 · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Kirill Marchenko · 2nd 01:11 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Ivan Provorov · 2nd 08:46 · 4–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Roope Hintz · 2nd 09:38 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Jason Robertson · 2nd 13:57 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
8
James van Riemsdyk · 3rd 02:37 · GWG · 5–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Mavrik Bourque · 3rd 17:53 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
10
Adam Fantilli · 3rd 19:28 · EN · 6–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/22 saves · 4 GA · 4.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.