Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 30-22-8
5–3
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 30-24-6
1ST2ND3RDT
CBJ
063728521
DET
014111221346
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blue Jackets lead the season series 2–1
CBJ 30-22-8 · DET 30-24-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blue Jackets lead the season series 2–1
Blue Jackets beat the Red Wings
Chances were even (2.7 to 3.0 expected goals); the Blue Jackets won 5–3. Danforth's winner came with 2:17 left. Cam Talbot allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 3.0, on 21 and 46 shots on goal.
CBJ 2.7 xG · 21 shots
DET 3.0 xG · 46 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.5
2nd
0.8 · 1.0
3rd
1.0 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Denton Mateychuk · 2nd 05:31 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 13:06 · 1–1 · snap shot, a great chance (44%)
3
Dmitri Voronkov · 2nd 17:23 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Mathieu Olivier · 2nd 17:55 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Patrick Kane · 3rd 03:34 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 16:36 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Justin Danforth · 3rd 17:43 · 4–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (63%)
8
Adam Fantilli · 3rd 18:52 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blue Jackets win 44.
CBJ 44%DET 56%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Denton Mateychuk · 2nd 05:31 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 13:06 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a great chance (44%)
3
Dmitri Voronkov · 2nd 17:23 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Mathieu Olivier · 2nd 17:55 · 3–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Patrick Kane · 3rd 03:34 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 16:36 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Justin Danforth · 3rd 17:43 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (63%)
8
Adam Fantilli · 3rd 18:52 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
5
Simon Edvinsson, Albert Johansson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3–2
No penalties
Goaltending
43/46 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.