Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 34-31-9
3–7
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 47-26-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CBJ
1122909330
COL
21031428732
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CBJ 34-31-9 · COL 47-26-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Blue Jackets fell to the Avalanche
Chances were even (3.0 to 3.1 expected goals); the Blue Jackets lost 3–7. Elvis Merzlikins allowed 4.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 3.1, on 30 and 32 shots on goal.
CBJ 3.0 xG · 30 shots
COL 3.1 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.3
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.8
3rd
0.5 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 03:25 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Sean Monahan · 1st 06:35 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
3
Brock Nelson · 1st 18:05 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
· 2nd 04:16 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Boone Jenner · 2nd 07:56 · 3–2 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
6
Charlie Coyle · 2nd 12:39 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Parker Kelly · 2nd 14:02 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Cale Makar · 2nd 19:22 · 3–5 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
9
Devon Toews · 3rd 04:01 · 3–6 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
10
Miles Wood · 3rd 05:49 · 3–7 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blue Jackets win 49.
CBJ 49%COL 51%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 03:25 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Sean Monahan · 1st 06:35 · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
3
Brock Nelson · 1st 18:05 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
· 2nd 04:16 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Boone Jenner · 2nd 07:56 · 3–2
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
6
Charlie Coyle · 2nd 12:39 · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Parker Kelly · 2nd 14:02 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Cale Makar · 2nd 19:22 · PP · 3–5
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
9
Devon Toews · 3rd 04:01 · 3–6
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
10
Miles Wood · 3rd 05:49 · 3–7
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/28 saves · 7 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 4.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
4/4 saves · 0 GA · 0.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.