Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 35-33-9
5–2
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 42-30-6
1ST2ND3RDT
CBJ
211114210535
OTT
09114112235
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blue Jackets trail the season series 1–2
CBJ 35-33-9 · OTT 42-30-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blue Jackets trail the season series 1–2
Blue Jackets beat the Senators
Chances were even (3.6 to 3.4 expected goals); the Blue Jackets won 5–2. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.4, on 35 and 35 shots on goal.
CBJ 3.6 xG · 35 shots
OTT 3.4 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.5
2nd
1.5 · 1.7
3rd
0.9 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dmitri Voronkov · 1st 07:00 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Justin Danforth · 1st 16:38 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Fabian Zetterlund · 2nd 16:18 · 2–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (77%)
4
Mathieu Olivier · 2nd 19:38 · 3–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Sean Monahan · 3rd 02:37 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Adam Fantilli · 3rd 11:42 · 5–1 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
7
Thomas Chabot · 3rd 15:10 · 5–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blue Jackets win 53.
CBJ 53%OTT 47%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dmitri Voronkov · 1st 07:00 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Justin Danforth · 1st 16:38 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Fabian Zetterlund · 2nd 16:18 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (77%)
4
Mathieu Olivier · 2nd 19:38 · GWG · 3–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Sean Monahan · 3rd 02:37 · PP · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Adam Fantilli · 3rd 11:42 · 5–1
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
7
Thomas Chabot · 3rd 15:10 · 5–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/35 saves · 5 GA · 3.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.