Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 3-4-0
1–5
FinalL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 6-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CBJ
012010113135
WSH
01212416530
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blue Jackets trail the season series 0–1
CBJ 3-4-0 · WSH 6-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Blue Jackets trail the season series 0–1
Blue Jackets fell to the Capitals
Chances were even (4.5 to 4.6 expected goals); the Blue Jackets lost 1–5. Logan Thompson stopped 3.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 4.5 expected goals to 4.6, on 35 and 30 shots on goal.
CBJ 4.5 xG · 35 shots
WSH 4.6 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.1 · 1.2
2nd
1.7 · 0.4
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 3.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
John Carlson · 2nd 18:19 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 01:36 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Justin Sourdif · 3rd 02:40 · 0–3 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Denton Mateychuk · 3rd 10:20 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Tom Wilson · 3rd 15:39 · 1–4 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
6
Connor McMichael · 3rd 16:37 · 1–5 · bat shot, a great chance (50%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blue Jackets win 48.
CBJ 48%WSH 52%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 6 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
John Carlson · 2nd 18:19 · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 01:36 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Justin Sourdif · 3rd 02:40 · 0–3
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Denton Mateychuk · 3rd 10:20 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Tom Wilson · 3rd 15:39 · PP · 1–4
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
6
Connor McMichael · 3rd 16:37 · PP · 1–5
Bat shot, a great chance (50%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:04
Dmitri Voronkov· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:54
Nic Dowd· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:52
Kirill Marchenko· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:18
Ethen Frank· Slashing
Killed
Minor
1
Connor McMichael, Hendrix Lapierre · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
0–1
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:19
Hendrix Lapierre· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
12:35
Mathieu Olivier· Elbowing
Wilson scored on this power play
Major
5
Ethen Frank, John Carlson · Power play (Olivier, elbowing) · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
1–4
6
Alex Ovechkin, Aliaksei Protas · Power play (Olivier, elbowing) · bat shot, a great chance (50%)
1–5
Goaltending
25/30 saves · 5 GA · 4.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
34/35 saves · 1 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 3.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Blue Jackets went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 2 on 3 Capitals power plays.