Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 29-21-8
3–4
Final / OTL
New York Islanders
NYI · 34-21-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CBJ
1112160300330
NYI
0531101011427
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blue Jackets trail the season series 1–2
CBJ 29-21-8 · NYI 34-21-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blue Jackets trail the season series 1–2
Blue Jackets fell to the Islanders
The Blue Jackets let a 2–0 lead get away: the Islanders came back with four unanswered goals — Pageau's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Holmstrom's goal. Jet Greaves allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blue Jackets created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.3, on 30 and 27 shots on goal.
CBJ 2.8 xG · 30 shots
NYI 2.3 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.4
2nd
1.4 · 0.7
3rd
0.3 · 0.7
OT
0.0 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Isac Lundeström · 1st 02:30 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Mason Marchment · 2nd 03:58 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Anders Lee · 2nd 11:37 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 2nd 11:59 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Scott Mayfield · 2nd 17:10 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Adam Fantilli · 2nd 18:58 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a great chance (31%)
7
Simon Holmstrom · OT 01:47 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (37%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blue Jackets win 60.
CBJ 60%NYI 40%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 2 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Isac Lundeström · 1st 02:30 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Mason Marchment · 2nd 03:58 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Anders Lee · 2nd 11:37 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 2nd 11:59 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Scott Mayfield · 2nd 17:10 · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Adam Fantilli · 2nd 18:58 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a great chance (31%)
7
Simon Holmstrom · OT 01:47 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (37%)
1st period
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
11:59
Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:53
Boone Jenner· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
Goaltending
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Blue Jackets killed all 2 Islanders power plays.