Dallas Stars
DAL · 2-2
1–4
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 2-2
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
08014113135
CGY
019120315454
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
DAL 2-2 · CGY 2-2 · Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
Stars fell to the Flames
The Stars were outchanced (6.0 to 3.5 expected goals) and lost 1–4. Jake Oettinger stopped 3.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 6.0 expected goals to 3.5, on 54 and 35 shots on goal.
DAL 3.5 xG · 35 shots
CGY 6.0 xG · 54 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
0.8 · 1.3
2nd · the swing
1.1 · 2.5
3rd
1.6 · 2.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rasmus Andersson · 2nd 10:03 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Johnny Gaudreau · 3rd 07:47 · 0–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (37%)
3
Elias Lindholm · 3rd 11:53 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 15:03 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 19:38 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 21.
DAL 21%CGY 79%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rasmus Andersson · 2nd 10:03 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Johnny Gaudreau · 3rd 07:47 · PS · GWG · 0–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (37%)
3
Elias Lindholm · 3rd 11:53 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 15:03 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 19:38 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
50/53 saves · 3 GA · 6.0 xGA
Stopped 3.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
34/35 saves · 1 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.