DAL
4–2
CGY
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 3-3
4–2
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 3-3
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
110217113440
CGY
01829011238
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the series is tied 3–3
DAL 3-3 · CGY 3-3 · Game 6 — the series is tied 3–3
Stars beat the Flames
Chances were even (3.1 to 2.8 expected goals); the Stars won 4–2. The Flames owned the 1st period, 1.7 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 2.8, on 40 and 38 shots on goal.
DAL 3.1 xG · 40 shots
CGY 2.8 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.4 · 1.7
2nd
1.8 · 0.8
3rd
0.8 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 14:52 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Michael Raffl · 2nd 06:04 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (52%)
3
Michael Stone · 2nd 08:09 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 11:59 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Miro Heiskanen · 2nd 17:32 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 19:18 · 4–2 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 55.
DAL 55%CGY 45%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 14:52 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Michael Raffl · 2nd 06:04 · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (52%)
3
Michael Stone · 2nd 08:09 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 11:59 · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Miro Heiskanen · 2nd 17:32 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 19:18 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3
Johnny Gaudreau, Matthew Tkachuk · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
36/38 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
36/39 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
