Dallas Stars
DAL · 2-0-0
5–1
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 2-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
1102626522
NSH
01311205130
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–0
DAL 2-0-0 · NSH 2-2-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–0
Stars beat the Predators
The Stars earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 2.8, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Jake Oettinger stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.8, on 22 and 30 shots on goal.
DAL 3.5 xG · 22 shots
NSH 2.8 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.9
2nd
0.9 · 1.3
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 04:46 · 1–0 · snap shot, a great chance (42%)
2
Roope Hintz · 2nd 00:39 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Miro Heiskanen · 2nd 07:48 · 3–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Nino Niederreiter · 2nd 18:20 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Jason Robertson · 3rd 03:13 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Mason Marchment · 3rd 18:47 · 5–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 60.
DAL 60%NSH 40%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 04:46 · SH · 1–0
Snap shot, a great chance (42%)
2
Roope Hintz · 2nd 00:39 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Miro Heiskanen · 2nd 07:48 · 3–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Nino Niederreiter · 2nd 18:20 · PP · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Jason Robertson · 3rd 03:13 · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Mason Marchment · 3rd 18:47 · EN · 5–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.