DAL
5–2
LAK
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 6-3-1
5–2
FinalW
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 6-6-0
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
118410012540
LAK
08214010232
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
DAL 6-3-1 · LAK 6-6-0 · First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
Stars beat the Kings
The Stars earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 2.4, and a 5–2 win to show for it. Cal Petersen allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.4, on 40 and 32 shots on goal.
DAL 3.3 xG · 40 shots
LAK 2.4 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.5 · 0.8
2nd
1.0 · 1.3
3rd
0.9 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 06:49 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Kevin Fiala · 2nd 05:21 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
3
Jason Robertson · 2nd 09:01 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 10:17 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Roope Hintz · 2nd 10:31 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Arthur Kaliyev · 2nd 14:37 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 18:37 · 5–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 65.
DAL 65%LAK 35%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Kings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 06:49 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Kevin Fiala · 2nd 05:21 · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
3
Jason Robertson · 2nd 09:01 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 10:17 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Roope Hintz · 2nd 10:31 · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Arthur Kaliyev · 2nd 14:37 · PP · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 18:37 · PP · 5–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
6
Viktor Arvidsson, Phillip Danault · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4–2
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
35/40 saves · 5 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
