DAL
5–2
NYI
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 11-5-2
5–2
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 11-8-0
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
01321339535
NYI
09210010229
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
DAL 11-5-2 · NYI 11-8-0 · First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
Stars beat the Islanders
The Stars earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 2.3, and a 5–2 win to show for it. The Stars owned the 1st period, 1.7 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.3, on 35 and 29 shots on goal.
DAL 3.1 xG · 35 shots
NYI 2.3 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.7 · 0.5
2nd
1.0 · 1.1
3rd
0.5 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 01:30 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Radek Faksa · 2nd 06:57 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 14:19 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Mason Marchment · 2nd 14:59 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Jamie Benn · 3rd 08:17 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Jason Robertson · 3rd 16:27 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Jani Hakanpää · 3rd 19:39 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 64.
DAL 64%NYI 36%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 01:30 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Radek Faksa · 2nd 06:57 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Mathew Barzal · 2nd 14:19 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Mason Marchment · 2nd 14:59 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Jamie Benn · 3rd 08:17 · GWG · 3–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Jason Robertson · 3rd 16:27 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Jani Hakanpää · 3rd 19:39 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
