Dallas Stars
DAL · 11-5-3
2–3
Final / SOL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 11-5-1
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
DAL
0111815000224
COL
11107113041335
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–1
DAL 11-5-3 · COL 11-5-1 · First meeting this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–1
Stars fell to the Avalanche
The Stars were outchanced (4.8 to 2.2 expected goals) and lost it in a shootout. Jake Oettinger stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.8 expected goals to 2.2, on 35 and 24 shots on goal.
DAL 2.2 xG · 24 shots
COL 4.8 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.2 · 0.8
2nd
0.9 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
0.2 · 2.1
OT
0.0 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cale Makar · 1st 10:10 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Jason Robertson · 2nd 05:33 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (54%)
3
Alex Newhook · 3rd 02:06 · 1–2 · bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
4
Jason Robertson · 3rd 19:34 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 17.
DAL 17%COL 83%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cale Makar · 1st 10:10 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Jason Robertson · 2nd 05:33 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (54%)
3
Alex Newhook · 3rd 02:06 · 1–2
Bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
4
Jason Robertson · 3rd 19:34 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Avalanche
Goaltending
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 4.8 xGA
Stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.