Dallas Stars
DAL · 12-5-4
4–5
Final / OTL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 12-6-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DAL
2140821900441
WPG
2101111611528
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Stars trail the season series 1–2
DAL 12-5-4 · WPG 12-6-1 · Meeting 3 this season — the Stars trail the season series 1–2
Stars fell to the Jets
The Stars created the better chances (4.7 to 2.8 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Morrissey's goal. Jake Oettinger allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 4.7 expected goals to 2.8, on 41 and 28 shots on goal.
DAL 4.7 xG · 41 shots
WPG 2.8 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
2.2 · 1.0
2nd
0.5 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
2.1 · 0.4
OT
0.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cole Perfetti · 1st 01:32 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 01:58 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (53%)
3
Jansen Harkins · 1st 05:46 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Jamie Benn · 1st 08:27 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
5
Adam Lowry · 2nd 08:04 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Kyle Connor · 3rd 11:21 · 2–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Jason Robertson · 3rd 17:48 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Jason Robertson · 3rd 19:40 · 4–4 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
9
Josh Morrissey · OT 00:34 · 4–5 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 76.
DAL 76%WPG 24%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cole Perfetti · 1st 01:32 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 01:58 · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (53%)
3
Jansen Harkins · 1st 05:46 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Jamie Benn · 1st 08:27 · PP · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
5
Adam Lowry · 2nd 08:04 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Kyle Connor · 3rd 11:21 · 2–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Jason Robertson · 3rd 17:48 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Jason Robertson · 3rd 19:40 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
9
Josh Morrissey · OT 00:34 · GWG · 4–5
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
37/41 saves · 4 GA · 4.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.