DAL
5–6
MIN
Final / SO · L
Dallas Stars
DAL · 14-6-5
5–6
Final / SOL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 13-9-2
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
DAL
01211349010535
MIN
1739112031631
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–1
DAL 14-6-5 · MIN 13-9-2 · First meeting this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–1
Stars fell to the Wild
The Stars created the better chances (3.5 to 2.5 expected goals) — and lost it in a shootout. Jake Oettinger allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.5, on 35 and 31 shots on goal.
DAL 3.5 xG · 35 shots
MIN 2.5 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.5
2nd
1.0 · 1.1
3rd
1.2 · 0.6
OT
0.2 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 15:04 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Roope Hintz · 2nd 06:58 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
3
Connor Dewar · 2nd 10:42 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Jake Middleton · 2nd 13:17 · 1–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Jordan Greenway · 2nd 13:32 · 1–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
6
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 00:29 · 1–5 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Roope Hintz · 3rd 07:12 · 2–5 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Jason Robertson · 3rd 07:50 · 3–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
9
Mason Marchment · 3rd 09:55 · 4–5 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
10
Roope Hintz · 3rd 17:49 · 5–5 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 65.
DAL 65%MIN 35%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 15:04 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Roope Hintz · 2nd 06:58 · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
3
Connor Dewar · 2nd 10:42 · SH · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Jake Middleton · 2nd 13:17 · 1–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Jordan Greenway · 2nd 13:32 · 1–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
6
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 00:29 · 1–5
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Roope Hintz · 3rd 07:12 · 2–5
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Jason Robertson · 3rd 07:50 · 3–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
9
Mason Marchment · 3rd 09:55 · 4–5
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
10
Roope Hintz · 3rd 17:49 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–5
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
6
Marcus Foligno, Jared Spurgeon · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–5
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Wild
Goaltending
12/16 saves · 4 GA · 1.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
14/15 saves · 1 GA · 0.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
