DAL
4–3
OTT
Final / OT · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 15-7-5
4–3
Final / OTW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 10-14-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DAL
270811215432
OTT
2140131202331
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DAL 15-7-5 · OTT 10-14-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Stars beat the Senators
Chances were even (3.5 to 3.6 expected goals); the Stars won it in overtime on Seguin's goal. The Stars owned the 3rd period, 1.5 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.5 expected goals to 3.6, on 32 and 31 shots on goal.
DAL 3.5 xG · 32 shots
OTT 3.6 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 1.5
2nd
0.7 · 1.6
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.4
OT
0.8 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Miro Heiskanen · 1st 05:07 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Miro Heiskanen · 1st 06:55 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Derick Brassard · 1st 13:52 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Thomas Chabot · 1st 18:47 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Travis Hamonic · 3rd 01:27 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Nils Lundkvist · 3rd 14:54 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Tyler Seguin · OT 04:31 · 4–3 · snap shot, a great chance (34%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 48.
DAL 48%OTT 52%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Miro Heiskanen · 1st 05:07 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Miro Heiskanen · 1st 06:55 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Derick Brassard · 1st 13:52 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Thomas Chabot · 1st 18:47 · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Travis Hamonic · 3rd 01:27 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Nils Lundkvist · 3rd 14:54 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Tyler Seguin · OT 04:31 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a great chance (34%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
