Dallas Stars
DAL · 16-7-5
3–2
Final / OTW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 13-8-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DAL
1511701011333
DET
112190401226
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
DAL 16-7-5 · DET 13-8-6 · First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
Stars beat the Red Wings
The Stars earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 2.6, and they won it in overtime on Lundkvist's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.6, on 33 and 26 shots on goal.
DAL 3.8 xG · 33 shots
DET 2.6 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 1.4
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 1.0
3rd
1.0 · 0.2
OT
0.4 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Larkin · 1st 09:48 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Denis Gurianov · 1st 18:06 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Jamie Benn · 2nd 16:00 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
David Perron · 2nd 19:00 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Nils Lundkvist · OT 04:29 · 3–2 · snap shot, a great chance (37%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 69.
DAL 69%DET 31%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Larkin · 1st 09:48 · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Denis Gurianov · 1st 18:06 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Jamie Benn · 2nd 16:00 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
David Perron · 2nd 19:00 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Nils Lundkvist · OT 04:29 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a great chance (37%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.