DAL
3–6
EDM
Final · L
Dallas Stars
DAL · 19-9-6
3–6
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 18-14-2
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
11121105327
EDM
11321338634
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DAL 19-9-6 · EDM 18-14-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Stars fell to the Oilers
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.6 expected goals); the Stars lost 3–6. Jake Oettinger allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.6, on 27 and 34 shots on goal.
DAL 2.8 xG · 27 shots
EDM 2.6 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.8
2nd
1.7 · 1.4
3rd
0.5 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 14:49 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Mattias Janmark · 1st 15:55 · 1–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 00:27 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Zach Hyman · 2nd 02:36 · 2–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 08:18 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 17:56 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Warren Foegele · 3rd 11:46 · 3–4 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Connor McDavid · 3rd 16:17 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Mattias Janmark · 3rd 16:49 · 3–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 53.
DAL 53%EDM 47%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 14:49 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Mattias Janmark · 1st 15:55 · 1–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 00:27 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Zach Hyman · 2nd 02:36 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 08:18 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 17:56 · PP · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Warren Foegele · 3rd 11:46 · GWG · 3–4
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Connor McDavid · 3rd 16:17 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Mattias Janmark · 3rd 16:49 · EN · 3–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/33 saves · 5 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
