DAL
5–1
FLA
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 24-11-6
5–1
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 18-19-4
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
18215211534
FLA
01511003128
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–0
DAL 24-11-6 · FLA 18-19-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–0
Stars beat the Panthers
Chances were even (3.1 to 3.4 expected goals); the Stars won 5–1. Jake Oettinger stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 3.4, on 34 and 28 shots on goal.
DAL 3.1 xG · 34 shots
FLA 3.4 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.6 · 1.8
2nd
2.0 · 1.0
3rd
0.5 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Robertson · 1st 16:45 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
2
Nils Lundkvist · 2nd 10:03 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 12:35 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Esa Lindell · 2nd 13:14 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Jason Robertson · 3rd 04:21 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Miro Heiskanen · 3rd 15:49 · 5–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 45.
DAL 45%FLA 55%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Robertson · 1st 16:45 · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
2
Nils Lundkvist · 2nd 10:03 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 12:35 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Esa Lindell · 2nd 13:14 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Jason Robertson · 3rd 04:21 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Miro Heiskanen · 3rd 15:49 · EN · 5–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
