Dallas Stars
DAL · 25-12-7
5–6
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 21-14-9
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
19112312533
CGY
21541308636
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–1
DAL 25-12-7 · CGY 21-14-9 · First meeting this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–1
Stars fell to the Flames
The Stars were outchanced (2.7 to 2.0 expected goals) and lost 5–6. Scott Wedgewood allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 2.0, on 36 and 33 shots on goal.
DAL 2.0 xG · 33 shots
CGY 2.7 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.1
2nd
0.6 · 1.0
3rd
0.6 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 00:25 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Trevor Lewis · 1st 08:10 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Jamie Benn · 1st 15:34 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Elias Lindholm · 2nd 10:54 · 1–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 13:07 · 1–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Rasmus Andersson · 2nd 16:38 · 1–5 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Chris Tanev · 2nd 17:57 · 1–6 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 19:14 · 2–6 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Joe Pavelski · 3rd 07:19 · 3–6
10
Joe Pavelski · 3rd 12:54 · 4–6 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
11
Colin Miller · 3rd 15:23 · 5–6 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 38.
DAL 38%CGY 62%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 00:25 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Trevor Lewis · 1st 08:10 · PP · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Jamie Benn · 1st 15:34 · SH · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Elias Lindholm · 2nd 10:54 · PP · 1–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 13:07 · 1–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Rasmus Andersson · 2nd 16:38 · 1–5
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Chris Tanev · 2nd 17:57 · GWG · 1–6
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 19:14 · 2–6
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Joe Pavelski · 3rd 07:19 · 3–6
10
Joe Pavelski · 3rd 12:54 · 4–6
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
11
Colin Miller · 3rd 15:23 · 5–6
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/36 saves · 6 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.