Dallas Stars
DAL · 28-13-9
2–3
Final / OTL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 30-9-8
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DAL
26060900221
CAR
171100611324
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–2
DAL 28-13-9 · CAR 30-9-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–2
Stars fell to the Hurricanes
The Stars were outchanced (2.2 to 1.4 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Necas's goal. Frederik Andersen allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 2.2 expected goals to 1.4, on 24 and 21 shots on goal.
DAL 1.4 xG · 21 shots
CAR 2.2 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
0.1 · 1.0
3rd
0.8 · 0.5
OT
0.0 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sebastian Aho · 1st 08:46 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 10:59 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Jason Robertson · 1st 15:17 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Brent Burns · 2nd 04:55 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Martin Necas · OT 01:34 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 33.
DAL 33%CAR 67%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sebastian Aho · 1st 08:46 · SH · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 10:59 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Jason Robertson · 1st 15:17 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Brent Burns · 2nd 04:55 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Martin Necas · OT 01:34 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
15/15 saves · 0 GA · 1.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.