Dallas Stars
DAL · 30-13-10
4–1
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 27-19-4
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
014312111437
MIN
09115015139
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–1
DAL 30-13-10 · MIN 27-19-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–1
Stars beat the Wild
Chances were even (3.1 to 2.7 expected goals); the Stars won 4–1. Jake Oettinger stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 2.7, on 37 and 39 shots on goal.
DAL 3.1 xG · 37 shots
MIN 2.7 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.9
2nd
0.8 · 0.8
3rd
1.0 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jamie Benn · 2nd 00:23 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Radek Faksa · 2nd 05:40 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Jani Hakanpää · 2nd 10:54 · 3–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 18:16 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Roope Hintz · 3rd 17:49 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 55.
DAL 55%MIN 45%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jamie Benn · 2nd 00:23 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Radek Faksa · 2nd 05:40 · GWG · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Jani Hakanpää · 2nd 10:54 · 3–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 18:16 · PP · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Roope Hintz · 3rd 17:49 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
38/39 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.