Dallas Stars
DAL · 30-14-10
1–3
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 34-16-2
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
01211205129
TBL
06110215331
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–2
DAL 30-14-10 · TBL 34-16-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–2
Stars fell to the Lightning
The Stars created the better chances (3.4 to 2.6 expected goals) — and lost 1–3. Cirelli's winner came with 0:44 left. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.6, on 29 and 31 shots on goal.
DAL 3.4 xG · 29 shots
TBL 2.6 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.6
2nd
1.4 · 0.9
3rd
0.5 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 10:13 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Jamie Benn · 2nd 12:18 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 19:16 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 19:59 · 1–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 63.
DAL 63%TBL 37%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 10:13 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Jamie Benn · 2nd 12:18 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 19:16 · GWG · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 19:59 · EN · 1–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.