Dallas Stars
DAL · 30-16-12
3–4
FinalL
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 20-32-5
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
21217013332
CHI
0831015423
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DAL 30-16-12 · CHI 20-32-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Stars fell to the Blackhawks
The Stars let a 3–0 lead get away: the Blackhawks came back with four unanswered goals — Kane's equalizer — and won 3–4. Jake Oettinger allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.4, on 32 and 23 shots on goal.
DAL 3.1 xG · 32 shots
CHI 2.4 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.6
2nd
0.8 · 1.2
3rd
1.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Seguin · 1st 12:58 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Jamie Benn · 1st 14:17 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Jason Robertson · 2nd 04:33 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Max Domi · 2nd 10:10 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Patrick Kane · 2nd 15:24 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
6
Patrick Kane · 2nd 18:05 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Max Domi · 3rd 04:13 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 61.
DAL 61%CHI 39%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Seguin · 1st 12:58 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Jamie Benn · 1st 14:17 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Jason Robertson · 2nd 04:33 · PP · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Max Domi · 2nd 10:10 · PP · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Patrick Kane · 2nd 15:24 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
6
Patrick Kane · 2nd 18:05 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Max Domi · 3rd 04:13 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.