DAL
7–3
COL
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 34-16-13
7–3
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 34-21-5
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
31221027729
COL
111010214335
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Stars trail the season series 1–2
DAL 34-16-13 · COL 34-21-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Stars trail the season series 1–2
Stars beat the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.5 expected goals); the Stars won 7–3. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 3.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.5, on 29 and 35 shots on goal.
DAL 2.2 xG · 29 shots
COL 2.5 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.7
2nd
0.7 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Robertson · 1st 03:33 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Miro Heiskanen · 1st 10:09 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Samuel Girard · 1st 16:03 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Joe Pavelski · 1st 17:42 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Mason Marchment · 2nd 05:25 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Radek Faksa · 2nd 11:39 · 5–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 04:15 · 6–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
8
Andrew Cogliano · 3rd 11:49 · 6–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
9
Evan Rodrigues · 3rd 16:19 · 6–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
10
Jason Robertson · 3rd 16:53 · 7–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 44.
DAL 44%COL 56%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Robertson · 1st 03:33 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Miro Heiskanen · 1st 10:09 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Samuel Girard · 1st 16:03 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Joe Pavelski · 1st 17:42 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Mason Marchment · 2nd 05:25 · GWG · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Radek Faksa · 2nd 11:39 · 5–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 04:15 · 6–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
8
Andrew Cogliano · 3rd 11:49 · 6–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
9
Evan Rodrigues · 3rd 16:19 · PP · 6–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
10
Jason Robertson · 3rd 16:53 · EN · 7–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
14/19 saves · 5 GA · 1.1 xGA
Allowed 3.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
