DAL
4–5
CGY
Final · L
Dallas Stars
DAL · 34-17-13
4–5
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 28-23-13
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
01028215433
CGY
11721327537
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–2
DAL 34-17-13 · CGY 28-23-13 · Meeting 2 this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–2
Stars fell to the Flames
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.2 expected goals); the Stars lost 4–5. Toffoli's winner came with 0:07 left. The Stars owned the 3rd period, 1.9 to 0.8 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.2, on 33 and 37 shots on goal.
DAL 3.3 xG · 33 shots
CGY 3.2 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.7
2nd
0.5 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.9 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Ritchie · 1st 03:53 · 0–1 · poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
2
Nikita Zadorov · 2nd 04:51 · 0–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Jason Robertson · 2nd 11:48 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Max Domi · 2nd 15:42 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Elias Lindholm · 2nd 17:53 · 2–3
6
Rasmus Andersson · 3rd 04:24 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Roope Hintz · 3rd 09:49 · 3–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Jamie Benn · 3rd 14:12 · 4–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 19:53 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 52.
DAL 52%CGY 48%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Ritchie · 1st 03:53 · 0–1
Poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
2
Nikita Zadorov · 2nd 04:51 · 0–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Jason Robertson · 2nd 11:48 · PP · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Max Domi · 2nd 15:42 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Elias Lindholm · 2nd 17:53 · 2–3
6
Rasmus Andersson · 3rd 04:24 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Roope Hintz · 3rd 09:49 · SH · 3–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Jamie Benn · 3rd 14:12 · 4–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 19:53 · GWG · 4–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/37 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
