Dallas Stars
DAL · 38-19-14
4–5
Final / OTL
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 39-24-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DAL
1501231101429
SEA
211171712527
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–1
DAL 38-19-14 · SEA 39-24-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–1
Stars fell to the Kraken
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.0 expected goals); the Stars lost it in overtime on Larsson's goal. Jake Oettinger allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.0, on 29 and 27 shots on goal.
DAL 3.3 xG · 29 shots
SEA 3.0 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.6 · 1.8
2nd
1.3 · 0.5
3rd
1.4 · 0.5
OT
0.0 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brandon Tanev · 1st 02:32 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Miro Heiskanen · 1st 03:52 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Daniel Sprong · 1st 12:20 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Jared McCann · 2nd 01:37 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 03:57 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Brandon Tanev · 3rd 14:03 · 2–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Joe Pavelski · 3rd 16:34 · 3–4 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Jamie Benn · 3rd 19:59 · 4–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
9
Adam Larsson · OT 01:52 · 4–5 · backhand shot, a great chance (27%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 54.
DAL 54%SEA 46%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brandon Tanev · 1st 02:32 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Miro Heiskanen · 1st 03:52 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Daniel Sprong · 1st 12:20 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Jared McCann · 2nd 01:37 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 03:57 · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Brandon Tanev · 3rd 14:03 · 2–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Joe Pavelski · 3rd 16:34 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–4
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Jamie Benn · 3rd 19:59 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
9
Adam Larsson · OT 01:52 · GWG · 4–5
Backhand shot, a great chance (27%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
22/27 saves · 5 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.