DAL
3–2
PIT
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 39-19-14
3–2
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 35-27-10
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
11401128333
PIT
015113114242
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DAL 39-19-14 · PIT 35-27-10 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Stars beat the Penguins
The Stars were outchanced (4.2 to 2.9 expected goals) but won 3–2 anyway. Jake Oettinger stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 2.9, on 42 and 33 shots on goal.
DAL 2.9 xG · 33 shots
PIT 4.2 xG · 42 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 1.0
2nd
0.7 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
0.8 · 1.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 08:45 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 04:00 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Joe Pavelski · 3rd 09:49 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Jamie Benn · 3rd 11:25 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
5
Pierre-Olivier Joseph · 3rd 13:43 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 32.
DAL 32%PIT 68%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 08:45 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 04:00 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Joe Pavelski · 3rd 09:49 · PP · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Jamie Benn · 3rd 11:25 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
5
Pierre-Olivier Joseph · 3rd 13:43 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
40/42 saves · 2 GA · 4.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
