DAL
5–1
NSH
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 42-21-14
5–1
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 38-30-8
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
11026210526
NSH
0100918127
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Stars lead the season series 4–0
DAL 42-21-14 · NSH 38-30-8 · Meeting 4 this season — the Stars lead the season series 4–0
Stars beat the Predators
The Stars earned it: 3.7 expected goals to 1.6, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Juuse Saros allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 1.6, on 26 and 27 shots on goal.
DAL 3.7 xG · 26 shots
NSH 1.6 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.2 · 0.3
2nd
1.0 · 0.6
3rd
1.5 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 04:21 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Colin Miller · 2nd 12:31 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 16:07 · 3–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Jason Robertson · 3rd 08:29 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 14:23 · 5–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Cal Foote · 3rd 15:10 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 82.
DAL 82%NSH 18%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 04:21 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Colin Miller · 2nd 12:31 · GWG · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 16:07 · PP · 3–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Jason Robertson · 3rd 08:29 · PP · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 14:23 · 5–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Cal Foote · 3rd 15:10 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 1.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/26 saves · 5 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
