DAL
4–1
PHI
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 43-21-14
4–1
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 29-36-13
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
1831606430
PHI
0711107125
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–0
DAL 43-21-14 · PHI 29-36-13 · Meeting 2 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–0
Stars beat the Flyers
The Stars earned it: 2.8 expected goals to 2.0, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Carter Hart allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.0, on 30 and 25 shots on goal.
DAL 2.8 xG · 30 shots
PHI 2.0 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd
1.4 · 0.9
3rd
0.8 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Robertson · 1st 19:58 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 01:04 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Colin Miller · 2nd 08:53 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Jason Robertson · 2nd 10:55 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Kevin Hayes · 2nd 13:16 · 4–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 64.
DAL 64%PHI 36%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Robertson · 1st 19:58 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 01:04 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Colin Miller · 2nd 08:53 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Jason Robertson · 2nd 10:55 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Kevin Hayes · 2nd 13:16 · 4–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
