DAL
7–3
MIN
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 1-1
7–3
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 1-1
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
21041318731
MIN
1927010326
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
DAL 1-1 · MIN 1-1 · Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
Stars beat the Wild
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.0 expected goals); the Stars won 7–3. Marc-Andre Fleury allowed 3.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.0, on 31 and 26 shots on goal.
DAL 3.3 xG · 31 shots
MIN 3.0 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.4 · 0.8
2nd
1.5 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 04:14 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Tyler Seguin · 1st 11:20 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Oskar Sundqvist · 1st 16:11 · 2–1 · deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
4
Jamie Benn · 2nd 04:07 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Evgenii Dadonov · 2nd 05:34 · 4–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
6
Marcus Johansson · 2nd 11:54 · 4–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Frederick Gaudreau · 2nd 12:05 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Evgenii Dadonov · 2nd 16:08 · 5–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Roope Hintz · 2nd 16:56 · 6–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
10
Roope Hintz · 3rd 12:16 · 7–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 55.
DAL 55%MIN 45%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 04:14 · SH · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Tyler Seguin · 1st 11:20 · PP · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Oskar Sundqvist · 1st 16:11 · 2–1
Deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
4
Jamie Benn · 2nd 04:07 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Evgenii Dadonov · 2nd 05:34 · GWG · 4–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
6
Marcus Johansson · 2nd 11:54 · PP · 4–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Frederick Gaudreau · 2nd 12:05 · 4–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Evgenii Dadonov · 2nd 16:08 · 5–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Roope Hintz · 2nd 16:56 · 6–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
10
Roope Hintz · 3rd 12:16 · PP · 7–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/31 saves · 7 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 3.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
