DAL
4–0
MIN
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 3-2
4–0
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 2-3
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
2111717425
MIN
0501309027
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Stars lead the series 3–2
DAL 3-2 · MIN 2-3 · Game 5 — the Stars lead the series 3–2
Stars beat the Wild
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.4 expected goals); the Stars won 4–0. Jake Oettinger stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.4, on 25 and 27 shots on goal.
DAL 2.6 xG · 25 shots
MIN 2.4 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.1 · 0.7
2nd
0.7 · 1.2
3rd
0.8 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Seguin · 1st 02:22 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
2
Jason Robertson · 1st 11:04 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Mason Marchment · 2nd 01:19 · 3–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
4
Ty Dellandrea · 3rd 16:03 · 4–0 · slap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 53.
DAL 53%MIN 47%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Seguin · 1st 02:22 · PP · GWG · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
2
Jason Robertson · 1st 11:04 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Mason Marchment · 2nd 01:19 · 3–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
4
Ty Dellandrea · 3rd 16:03 · EN · 4–0
Slap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/27 saves · 0 GA · 2.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
