Dallas Stars
DAL · 4-3
4–5
Final / OTL
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 5-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DAL
2110921104435
SEA
41201408110544
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Stars trail the series 0–1
DAL 4-3 · SEA 5-3 · Game 1 — the Stars trail the series 0–1
Stars fell to the Kraken
Chances were even (3.1 to 3.4 expected goals); the Stars lost it in overtime on Gourde's goal. Jake Oettinger allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 3.4, on 35 and 44 shots on goal.
DAL 3.1 xG · 35 shots
SEA 3.4 xG · 44 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 1.1
3rd
0.9 · 1.2
OT
0.7 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joe Pavelski · 1st 02:25 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Jaden Schwartz · 1st 11:25 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Joe Pavelski · 1st 12:18 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Justin Schultz · 1st 14:28 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 1st 14:39 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Jordan Eberle · 1st 15:20 · 2–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Joe Pavelski · 3rd 09:50 · 3–4 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
8
Joe Pavelski · 3rd 13:23 · 4–4 · bat shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Yanni Gourde · OT 12:17 · 4–5 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 46.
DAL 46%SEA 54%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joe Pavelski · 1st 02:25 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Jaden Schwartz · 1st 11:25 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Joe Pavelski · 1st 12:18 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Justin Schultz · 1st 14:28 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 1st 14:39 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Jordan Eberle · 1st 15:20 · 2–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Joe Pavelski · 3rd 09:50 · 3–4
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
8
Joe Pavelski · 3rd 13:23 · 4–4
Bat shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Yanni Gourde · OT 12:17 · GWG · 4–5
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
39/44 saves · 5 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.