DAL
4–2
SEA
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 5-3
4–2
FinalW
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 5-4
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
01131917437
SEA
0519113227
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
DAL 5-3 · SEA 5-4 · Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
Stars beat the Kraken
The Stars earned it: 4.6 expected goals to 1.7, and a 4–2 win to show for it. The Stars owned the 2nd period, 2.8 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 1.7, on 37 and 27 shots on goal.
DAL 4.6 xG · 37 shots
SEA 1.7 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.2 · 0.3
2nd · the swing
2.8 · 0.5
3rd
0.6 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 03:43 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
2
Evgenii Dadonov · 2nd 09:05 · 2–0 · wrap around shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Tye Kartye · 2nd 11:05 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 16:57 · 3–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
5
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 10:59 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Jordan Eberle · 3rd 16:32 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 88.
DAL 88%SEA 12%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Kraken shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 03:43 · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
2
Evgenii Dadonov · 2nd 09:05 · 2–0
Wrap around shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Tye Kartye · 2nd 11:05 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 16:57 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
5
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 10:59 · 4–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Jordan Eberle · 3rd 16:32 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/37 saves · 4 GA · 4.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
