Dallas Stars
DAL · 7-4
5–2
FinalW
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 6-6
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
2511224521
SEA
01427010231
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Stars lead the series 3–2
DAL 7-4 · SEA 6-6 · Game 5 — the Stars lead the series 3–2
Stars beat the Kraken
The Stars earned it: 2.7 expected goals to 1.5, and a 5–2 win to show for it. Philipp Grubauer allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.5, on 21 and 31 shots on goal.
DAL 2.7 xG · 21 shots
SEA 1.5 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.8
3rd
0.8 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 03:57 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Roope Hintz · 1st 05:35 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 00:35 · 3–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
4
Adam Larsson · 2nd 01:59 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Jared McCann · 2nd 07:30 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Roope Hintz · 3rd 11:20 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Radek Faksa · 3rd 16:43 · 5–2 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 73.
DAL 73%SEA 27%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 03:57 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Roope Hintz · 1st 05:35 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 00:35 · GWG · 3–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
4
Adam Larsson · 2nd 01:59 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Jared McCann · 2nd 07:30 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Roope Hintz · 3rd 11:20 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Radek Faksa · 3rd 16:43 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.