Dallas Stars
DAL · 10-9
0–6
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 12-5
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
0705011023
VGK
3161726629
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the Stars trail the series 2–4
DAL 10-9 · VGK 12-5 · Game 6 — the Stars trail the series 2–4
Stars fell to the Golden Knights
The Stars were outchanced (3.2 to 1.2 expected goals) and lost 0–6. Jake Oettinger allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.2, on 29 and 23 shots on goal.
DAL 1.2 xG · 23 shots
VGK 3.2 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.2 · 1.8
2nd
0.3 · 0.8
3rd
0.8 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
William Carrier · 1st 03:41 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
2
William Karlsson · 1st 10:25 · 0–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
3
Keegan Kolesar · 1st 14:00 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 10:25 · 0–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
5
William Karlsson · 3rd 02:06 · 0–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Michael Amadio · 3rd 12:25 · 0–6 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 18.
DAL 18%VGK 82%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
William Carrier · 1st 03:41 · GWG · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
2
William Karlsson · 1st 10:25 · PP · 0–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
3
Keegan Kolesar · 1st 14:00 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 10:25 · 0–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
5
William Karlsson · 3rd 02:06 · 0–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Michael Amadio · 3rd 12:25 · 0–6
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/29 saves · 6 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/23 saves · 0 GA · 1.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.