Dallas Stars
DAL · 7-3-1
2–3
FinalL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 10-1-1
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
011010216237
BOS
21401114329
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–1
DAL 7-3-1 · BOS 10-1-1 · First meeting this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–1
Stars fell to the Bruins
The Stars created the better chances (3.5 to 2.5 expected goals) — and lost 2–3. Jeremy Swayman stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.5, on 37 and 29 shots on goal.
DAL 3.5 xG · 37 shots
BOS 2.5 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.9
2nd
1.0 · 1.0
3rd
1.4 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
John Beecher · 1st 10:21 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Mason Lohrei · 1st 14:09 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 05:09 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Brad Marchand · 3rd 09:51 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Joe Pavelski · 3rd 19:32 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 65.
DAL 65%BOS 35%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
John Beecher · 1st 10:21 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Mason Lohrei · 1st 14:09 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 05:09 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Brad Marchand · 3rd 09:51 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Joe Pavelski · 3rd 19:32 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
35/37 saves · 2 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.