DAL
3–6
COL
Final · L
Dallas Stars
DAL · 11-4-1
3–6
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 11-5-0
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
2711506328
COL
07216415638
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–1
DAL 11-4-1 · COL 11-5-0 · First meeting this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–1
Stars fell to the Avalanche
The Stars let a 3–0 lead get away: the Avalanche came back with 6 unanswered goals — Nichushkin's equalizer — and won 3–6. The Avalanche owned the 3rd period, 1.6 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 4.1, on 28 and 38 shots on goal.
DAL 3.6 xG · 28 shots
COL 4.1 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.6
2nd
2.0 · 1.8
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Seguin · 1st 10:33 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Joe Pavelski · 1st 14:21 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 02:12 · 3–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
4
Miles Wood · 2nd 13:27 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (68%)
5
Ryan Johansen · 2nd 17:09 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 04:19 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 14:32 · 3–4 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Andrew Cogliano · 3rd 14:43 · 3–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
9
Ross Colton · 3rd 19:30 · 3–6 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 43.
DAL 43%COL 57%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Seguin · 1st 10:33 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Joe Pavelski · 1st 14:21 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 02:12 · 3–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
4
Miles Wood · 2nd 13:27 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (68%)
5
Ryan Johansen · 2nd 17:09 · PP · 3–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 04:19 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 14:32 · GWG · 3–4
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Andrew Cogliano · 3rd 14:43 · 3–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
9
Ross Colton · 3rd 19:30 · EN · 3–6
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
7
Devon Toews, Valeri Nichushkin · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3–4
No penalties
Goaltending
32/37 saves · 5 GA · 4.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
