Dallas Stars
DAL · 12-5-2
4–7
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 8-9-3
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
21126011428
CGY
1721248727
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DAL 12-5-2 · CGY 8-9-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Stars fell to the Flames
The Stars let a 4–2 lead get away: the Flames came back with five unanswered goals — Coleman's equalizer — and won 4–7. Jake Oettinger allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.7, on 27 and 28 shots on goal.
DAL 2.7 xG · 28 shots
CGY 3.5 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 1.0
2nd
0.8 · 1.4
3rd
0.7 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 01:13 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
A.J. Greer · 1st 08:19 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (31%)
3
Jason Robertson · 1st 11:27 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 00:43 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 04:44 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 08:53 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Adam Ruzicka · 2nd 13:27 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Blake Coleman · 3rd 01:53 · 4–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
9
Elias Lindholm · 3rd 02:22 · 4–5 · snap shot, a great chance (44%)
10
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 07:28 · 4–6 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
11
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 18:21 · 4–7 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 37.
DAL 37%CGY 63%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 01:13 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
A.J. Greer · 1st 08:19 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (31%)
3
Jason Robertson · 1st 11:27 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 00:43 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Wyatt Johnston · 2nd 04:44 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 08:53 · PP · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Adam Ruzicka · 2nd 13:27 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Blake Coleman · 3rd 01:53 · 4–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
9
Elias Lindholm · 3rd 02:22 · GWG · 4–5
Snap shot, a great chance (44%)
10
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 07:28 · 4–6
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
11
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 18:21 · EN · 4–7
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/26 saves · 6 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.