DAL
8–1
TBL
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 14-5-3
8–1
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 10-10-5
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
31131429834
TBL
110010013133
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
DAL 14-5-3 · TBL 10-10-5 · First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
Stars beat the Lightning
Chances were even (3.6 to 3.7 expected goals); the Stars won 8–1. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.7, on 34 and 33 shots on goal.
DAL 3.6 xG · 34 shots
TBL 3.7 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 1.1
2nd
1.7 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
0.8 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Seguin · 1st 01:01 · 1–0 · bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
2
Jason Robertson · 1st 06:28 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jamie Benn · 1st 07:39 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Victor Hedman · 1st 12:25 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Mason Marchment · 2nd 03:42 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 12:25 · 5–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Jason Robertson · 2nd 14:23 · 6–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
8
Thomas Harley · 3rd 13:27 · 7–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Sam Steel · 3rd 14:26 · 8–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 49.
DAL 49%TBL 51%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Seguin · 1st 01:01 · 1–0
Bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
2
Jason Robertson · 1st 06:28 · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jamie Benn · 1st 07:39 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Victor Hedman · 1st 12:25 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Mason Marchment · 2nd 03:42 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 12:25 · PP · 5–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Jason Robertson · 2nd 14:23 · PP · 6–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
8
Thomas Harley · 3rd 13:27 · 7–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Sam Steel · 3rd 14:26 · 8–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/25 saves · 6 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
