DAL
6–3
DET
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 16-8-3
6–3
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 14-9-4
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
28212215635
DET
19110111330
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
DAL 16-8-3 · DET 14-9-4 · First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
Stars beat the Red Wings
Chances were even (3.0 to 3.2 expected goals); the Stars won 6–3. James Reimer allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 3.2, on 35 and 30 shots on goal.
DAL 3.0 xG · 35 shots
DET 3.2 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.0
2nd
1.2 · 1.0
3rd
1.0 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Daniel Sprong · 1st 05:20 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Miro Heiskanen · 1st 13:35 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Esa Lindell · 1st 19:59 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Jason Robertson · 2nd 11:16 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Matt Duchene · 2nd 13:30 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Jonatan Berggren · 2nd 13:52 · 4–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
7
Joseph Veleno · 3rd 13:21 · 4–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
8
Joe Pavelski · 3rd 13:51 · 5–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Miro Heiskanen · 3rd 19:18 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 47.
DAL 47%DET 53%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Daniel Sprong · 1st 05:20 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Miro Heiskanen · 1st 13:35 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Esa Lindell · 1st 19:59 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Jason Robertson · 2nd 11:16 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Matt Duchene · 2nd 13:30 · GWG · 4–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Jonatan Berggren · 2nd 13:52 · 4–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
7
Joseph Veleno · 3rd 13:21 · PP · 4–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
8
Joe Pavelski · 3rd 13:51 · PP · 5–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Miro Heiskanen · 3rd 19:18 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/34 saves · 5 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
