DAL
5–4
OTT
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 17-8-3
5–4
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 11-14-0
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
2511029524
OTT
36110013429
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
DAL 17-8-3 · OTT 11-14-0 · First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
Stars beat the Senators
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Stars erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Heiskanen's equalizer — and won 5–4. Anton Forsberg allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.3, on 24 and 29 shots on goal.
DAL 2.3 xG · 24 shots
OTT 2.3 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 1.0
2nd
1.0 · 0.7
3rd
0.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Travis Hamonic · 1st 01:16 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Drake Batherson · 1st 02:51 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Joe Pavelski · 1st 11:46 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Josh Norris · 1st 13:20 · 1–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (51%)
5
Esa Lindell · 1st 13:30 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Drake Batherson · 2nd 04:54 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Thomas Harley · 2nd 11:21 · 3–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
8
Miro Heiskanen · 3rd 07:33 · 4–4 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
9
Matt Duchene · 3rd 08:17 · 5–4 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 49.
DAL 49%OTT 51%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Travis Hamonic · 1st 01:16 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Drake Batherson · 1st 02:51 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Joe Pavelski · 1st 11:46 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Josh Norris · 1st 13:20 · 1–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (51%)
5
Esa Lindell · 1st 13:30 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Drake Batherson · 2nd 04:54 · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Thomas Harley · 2nd 11:21 · SH · 3–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
8
Miro Heiskanen · 3rd 07:33 · 4–4
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
9
Matt Duchene · 3rd 08:17 · GWG · 5–4
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
0/2 saves · 2 GA · 0.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
