DAL
4–3
SEA
Final / OT · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 18-8-4
4–3
Final / OTW
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 10-14-9
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DAL
2131100411428
SEA
01321411001338
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
DAL 18-8-4 · SEA 10-14-9 · First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
Stars beat the Kraken
The Stars were outchanced (3.3 to 2.2 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Harley's goal anyway. Joey Daccord allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Kraken created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.2, on 38 and 28 shots on goal.
DAL 2.2 xG · 28 shots
SEA 3.3 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.1
2nd
0.6 · 1.2
3rd
0.5 · 0.9
OT
0.4 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Duchene · 1st 01:14 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Jason Robertson · 1st 10:20 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Tomas Tatar · 2nd 00:32 · 2–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
4
Matt Duchene · 2nd 06:20 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Matty Beniers · 2nd 13:48 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Eeli Tolvanen · 3rd 19:38 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (40%)
7
Thomas Harley · OT 02:16 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a great chance (43%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 33.
DAL 33%SEA 67%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Kraken shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Duchene · 1st 01:14 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Jason Robertson · 1st 10:20 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Tomas Tatar · 2nd 00:32 · 2–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
4
Matt Duchene · 2nd 06:20 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Matty Beniers · 2nd 13:48 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Eeli Tolvanen · 3rd 19:38 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (40%)
7
Thomas Harley · OT 02:16 · GWG · 4–3
Tip in shot, a great chance (43%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
35/38 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
