DAL
4–5
COL
Final / OT · L
Dallas Stars
DAL · 22-10-5
4–5
Final / OTL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 25-11-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DAL
192131901432
COL
1121721213534
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–2
DAL 22-10-5 · COL 25-11-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–2
Stars fell to the Avalanche
The Stars let a 3–1 lead get away: the Avalanche came back with four unanswered goals — Rantanen's equalizer with 1:09 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in overtime on MacKinnon's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 4.4 expected goals to 4.8, on 32 and 34 shots on goal.
DAL 4.4 xG · 32 shots
COL 4.8 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.0 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
2.1 · 1.2
3rd
0.9 · 1.5
OT
0.4 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Evgenii Dadonov · 1st 11:57 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 13:44 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 01:28 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
4
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 10:10 · 3–1 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Jonathan Drouin · 2nd 19:48 · 3–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (54%)
6
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 09:07 · 4–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
7
Jonathan Drouin · 3rd 09:45 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 18:51 · 4–4 · deflected shot, a great chance (34%)
9
Nathan MacKinnon · OT 03:40 · 4–5 · snap shot, a great chance (41%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 46.
DAL 46%COL 54%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Evgenii Dadonov · 1st 11:57 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 13:44 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 01:28 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
4
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 10:10 · PP · 3–1
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Jonathan Drouin · 2nd 19:48 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (54%)
6
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 09:07 · 4–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
7
Jonathan Drouin · 3rd 09:45 · 4–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 18:51 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Deflected shot, a great chance (34%)
9
Nathan MacKinnon · OT 03:40 · GWG · 4–5
Snap shot, a great chance (41%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
29/34 saves · 5 GA · 4.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 4.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
