DAL
3–4
NSH
Final · L
Dallas Stars
DAL · 22-11-5
3–4
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 22-17-1
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
0621518329
NSH
191825422
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DAL 22-11-5 · NSH 22-17-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Stars fell to the Predators
The Stars created the better chances (3.1 to 2.2 expected goals) — and lost 3–4. Scott Wedgewood allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.2, on 29 and 22 shots on goal.
DAL 3.1 xG · 29 shots
NSH 2.2 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
2.1 · 0.7
3rd
0.6 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Gustav Nyquist · 1st 11:26 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Luke Evangelista · 2nd 07:22 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 09:29 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Jamie Benn · 2nd 19:14 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 02:42 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 07:30 · 2–4 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Jason Robertson · 3rd 10:21 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 66.
DAL 66%NSH 34%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Gustav Nyquist · 1st 11:26 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Luke Evangelista · 2nd 07:22 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 09:29 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Jamie Benn · 2nd 19:14 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 02:42 · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 07:30 · GWG · 2–4
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Jason Robertson · 3rd 10:21 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/22 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
