DAL
7–2
MIN
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 24-11-5
7–2
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 17-19-4
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
18216410734
MIN
0603214223
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Stars lead the season series 3–0
DAL 24-11-5 · MIN 17-19-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Stars lead the season series 3–0
Stars beat the Wild
The Stars earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 2.0, and a 7–2 win to show for it. Jesper Wallstedt allowed 3.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.0, on 34 and 23 shots on goal.
DAL 3.2 xG · 34 shots
MIN 2.0 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.2
3rd
0.8 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joe Pavelski · 1st 16:45 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Matt Duchene · 2nd 04:28 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Roope Hintz · 2nd 14:59 · 3–0 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Matt Boldy · 3rd 04:22 · 3–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Jason Robertson · 3rd 08:05 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Nils Lundkvist · 3rd 09:26 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Ryan Hartman · 3rd 11:03 · 5–2 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
8
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 16:10 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Sam Steel · 3rd 18:17 · 7–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 70.
DAL 70%MIN 30%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joe Pavelski · 1st 16:45 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Matt Duchene · 2nd 04:28 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Roope Hintz · 2nd 14:59 · GWG · 3–0
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Matt Boldy · 3rd 04:22 · 3–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Jason Robertson · 3rd 08:05 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Nils Lundkvist · 3rd 09:26 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Ryan Hartman · 3rd 11:03 · PP · 5–2
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
8
Tyler Seguin · 3rd 16:10 · 6–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Sam Steel · 3rd 18:17 · 7–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/34 saves · 7 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 3.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
