Dallas Stars
DAL · 24-12-5
3–6
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 23-18-1
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
070738322
NSH
06215417638
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Stars trail the season series 1–2
DAL 24-12-5 · NSH 23-18-1 · Meeting 3 this season — the Stars trail the season series 1–2
Stars fell to the Predators
The Stars were outchanced (3.3 to 2.2 expected goals) and lost 3–6. The Predators owned the 2nd period, 1.6 to 0.6 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.2, on 38 and 22 shots on goal.
DAL 2.2 xG · 22 shots
NSH 3.3 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.6
3rd
1.3 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jeremy Lauzon · 2nd 09:22 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Tommy Novak · 2nd 13:51 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Jani Hakanpää · 3rd 01:09 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 03:41 · 1–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 08:11 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 10:08 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Matt Duchene · 3rd 13:36 · 3–4 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Gustav Nyquist · 3rd 17:27 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Juuso Parssinen · 3rd 19:29 · 3–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 33.
DAL 33%NSH 67%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jeremy Lauzon · 2nd 09:22 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Tommy Novak · 2nd 13:51 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Jani Hakanpää · 3rd 01:09 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 03:41 · 1–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 08:11 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 10:08 · PP · GWG · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Matt Duchene · 3rd 13:36 · PP · 3–4
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Gustav Nyquist · 3rd 17:27 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Juuso Parssinen · 3rd 19:29 · EN · 3–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.