DAL
4–3
ANA
Final / OT · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 29-13-6
4–3
Final / OTW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 16-30-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DAL
11111411811444
ANA
19141701321
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–0
DAL 29-13-6 · ANA 16-30-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Stars lead the season series 2–0
Stars beat the Ducks
The Stars earned it: 3.9 expected goals to 1.8, and they won it in overtime on Harley's goal. Jake Oettinger allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 1.8, on 44 and 21 shots on goal.
DAL 3.9 xG · 44 shots
ANA 1.8 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
1.9 · 0.5
3rd
1.3 · 0.8
OT
0.1 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Duchene · 1st 02:22 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Urho Vaakanainen · 1st 15:10 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Troy Terry · 2nd 01:28 · 1–2 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Craig Smith · 2nd 06:44 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
5
Jakob Silfverberg · 3rd 00:12 · 2–3 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
6
Miro Heiskanen · 3rd 10:31 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Thomas Harley · OT 00:38 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 80.
DAL 80%ANA 20%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Ducks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Duchene · 1st 02:22 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Urho Vaakanainen · 1st 15:10 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Troy Terry · 2nd 01:28 · 1–2
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Craig Smith · 2nd 06:44 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
5
Jakob Silfverberg · 3rd 00:12 · 2–3
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
6
Miro Heiskanen · 3rd 10:31 · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Thomas Harley · OT 00:38 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2
Isac Lundeström, Jakob Silfverberg · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
40/44 saves · 4 GA · 3.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
