DAL
4–2
CAR
Final · W
Dallas Stars
DAL · 33-14-6
4–2
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 30-17-5
1ST2ND3RDT
DAL
181827423
CAR
01221309234
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
DAL 33-14-6 · CAR 30-17-5 · First meeting this season — the Stars lead the season series 1–0
Stars beat the Hurricanes
The Stars were outchanced (2.8 to 1.9 expected goals) but won 4–2 anyway. Pyotr Kochetkov allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 1.9, on 34 and 23 shots on goal.
DAL 1.9 xG · 23 shots
CAR 2.8 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.5
2nd
0.6 · 1.3
3rd
0.4 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 09:53 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Jordan Staal · 2nd 00:13 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Mason Marchment · 2nd 05:04 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Jesper Fast · 2nd 15:16 · 2–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Jason Robertson · 3rd 04:35 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Matt Duchene · 3rd 17:35 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 35.
DAL 35%CAR 65%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Roope Hintz · 1st 09:53 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Jordan Staal · 2nd 00:13 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Mason Marchment · 2nd 05:04 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Jesper Fast · 2nd 15:16 · 2–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Jason Robertson · 3rd 04:35 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Matt Duchene · 3rd 17:35 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
