DAL
3–4
EDM
Final / OT · L
Dallas Stars
DAL · 34-14-7
3–4
Final / OTL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 32-18-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DAL
063160500327
EDM
073100611424
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
DAL 34-14-7 · EDM 32-18-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Stars fell to the Oilers
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.5 expected goals); the Stars lost it in overtime on Bouchard's goal. Jake Oettinger allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.5, on 27 and 24 shots on goal.
DAL 2.7 xG · 27 shots
EDM 2.5 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 0.6
2nd
2.3 · 1.6
3rd
0.1 · 0.3
OT
0.0 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mason Marchment · 2nd 01:08 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
2
Evan Bouchard · 2nd 02:03 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Thomas Harley · 2nd 04:47 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Corey Perry · 2nd 06:55 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Derek Ryan · 2nd 18:42 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Matt Duchene · 2nd 19:02 · 3–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
7
Evan Bouchard · OT 00:30 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 52.
DAL 52%EDM 48%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mason Marchment · 2nd 01:08 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
2
Evan Bouchard · 2nd 02:03 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Thomas Harley · 2nd 04:47 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Corey Perry · 2nd 06:55 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Derek Ryan · 2nd 18:42 · SH · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Matt Duchene · 2nd 19:02 · PP · 3–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
7
Evan Bouchard · OT 00:30 · PP · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
