DAL
2–3
NYI
Final / OT · L
Dallas Stars
DAL · 35-16-9
2–3
Final / OTL
New York Islanders
NYI · 24-20-14
1ST2ND3RDOTT
DAL
013290901232
NYI
1101130411328
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–2
DAL 35-16-9 · NYI 24-20-14 · Meeting 2 this season — the Stars trail the season series 0–2
Stars fell to the Islanders
The Stars created the better chances (3.7 to 3.1 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Horvat's goal. Ilya Sorokin stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 3.1, on 32 and 28 shots on goal.
DAL 3.7 xG · 32 shots
NYI 3.1 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 1.0
2nd
1.5 · 1.7
3rd
0.9 · 0.2
OT
0.7 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Pulock · 1st 15:59 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Matt Duchene · 2nd 07:11 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
3
Kyle MacLean · 2nd 15:24 · 1–2 · slap shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
4
Logan Stankoven · 2nd 18:17 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Bo Horvat · OT 02:54 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Stars win 59.
DAL 59%NYI 41%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Stars shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Pulock · 1st 15:59 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Matt Duchene · 2nd 07:11 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
3
Kyle MacLean · 2nd 15:24 · 1–2
Slap shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
4
Logan Stankoven · 2nd 18:17 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Bo Horvat · OT 02:54 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
